
1. Upheaval in the VC Industry
- The venture capital industry has been under serious pressure in recent years, with senior partners leaving legacy VCs at an unprecedented rate.
- This is happening across both Silicon Valley and Asia.
- "The venture capital industry has been under pressure for the last few years, and that's probably an understatement."
2. Specific Cases and Characteristics of the Exodus
- Recent departures include Matt Miller (Sequoia) and Bal Zuburi (Lux Capital), among other prominent figures.
- "These senior partners had been at their respective firms for over a decade."
- While junior turnover is common, senior partner departures are rare — these are typically the most coveted, lucrative, and hard-to-obtain positions in the industry.
3. Why Are They Leaving?
- The biggest reason: "Funds have gotten too large."
- "Investors say that venture capital has morphed into asset management."
- Rick Zulo (Equal Ventures): "Over the past decade, there's been a major shift, and as a result, the VC industry has transformed into a broader form of asset management. That's the core of the problem."
- Senior partners say: "Look, I don't want to be an asset manager. I wanted to be a venture capitalist. This isn't what I signed up for."
- The frustration stems from the role shifting away from working closely with founders and supporting innovation toward simply managing assets.
4. Charting New Paths
- Many senior partners are going independent to start their own early-stage funds.
- They want to work more closely with founders and pursue greater financial upside from early-stage investments.
5. Macro Headwinds and Investor Anxiety
- Tariffs, interest rates, inflation, and recession fears have intensified anxiety across the VC landscape.
- "Before Trump's reelection, there was hope that rates would come down and good times would return for VCs. But then tariff wars erupted, inflation surged, and recession fears mounted."
- The overall mood: "Everyone is in 'wait and see' mode. The sentiment in this region is not great, though the impact hasn't been fully felt yet."
6. Fundraising Has Gotten Harder
- "Has fundraising become more difficult in this environment?" "Yes, absolutely. That's the worse news."
Summary
- The VC industry is undergoing a major structural shift with senior partners departing en masse.
- Root causes: Fund bloat eroding VC's original role; transformation into asset management.
- Senior partners are going independent seeking closer work with founders and better early-stage returns.
- Macroeconomic uncertainty (tariffs, rates, inflation, recession fears) has made the VC landscape more anxious and fundraising more challenging.